As votes continue to be counted in the states that will decide the presidential election, Leaders League looks ahead to what might be in store if Trump wins a second term.
If, during his 2020 election campaign, Donald Trump was able to get considerable mileage out of his image and achievements in office, he was impossible to pin down as regards his plans for the next four years. Reading the runes, however, it’s highly likely there will be little change from what came before.
Trump has held his cards close to his chest as regards his plans for the next four years, preferring a re-run of his 2016 image-heavy, detail-short strategy combined with shining a spotlight on his achievements to date.
On his official website, under the Promises Kept tab, Trump lists numerous accomplishments, including, cutting taxes for small business by 20%, providing $415 billion in tax relief for small business owners, improving access to affordable quality health care via expanded access to Association Health Plans, and securing funding for approximately 445 miles of the total 722 miles of Mexican border wall.
Successes which, should he win a second term, will be built on since, invited to outline his program on August 24th, during the Republican National Convention he responded, he vowed to “continue what we're doing, we'd solidify what we've done, and we have other things on our plate that we want to get done.”
"Trump has promised to create of ten million jobs in ten months and a million new small businesses, in part by setting up tax credits for US companies that relocate manufacturing facilities to the United States from China"
What these ‘other things’ might be is open to conjecture, but should Trump win the election we can expect to see him roll out programs designed to help the economy, fight illegal immigration and withdraw further from international organizations.
The first order of business will be shoring up a US economy ravaged by measures taken to combat the spread of the coronavirus. In the second quarter of 2020, GDP plummeted by 33% and millions of Americans lost their jobs.
To get America back to work he has promised, without stipulating how, to create of ten million jobs in ten months and a million new small businesses, in part by setting up tax credits for US companies that relocate manufacturing facilities to the United States from China.
For Trump, there is no question of getting bogged down by national debt or corporate social responsibility considerations, which he views as obstacles to economic growth. Resolutely climate-change sceptic, he has, however advanced a somewhat nebulous promise to ‘clean up the oceans’.
As regards social programs, Trumps goal would likely be to strengthen the foundations of conservative America, by promoting republican values as regards gun ownership and abortion, for example.
Concerning the police force ─ embattled more than ever in recent years and facing calls on the left to be defunded and demilitarized in the aftermath of the George Floyd killing ─ the president would recruit more cops and stiffen penalties for anyone found guilty of assaulting an officer of the law.
Turning to education, Trump has said he would like the values of American exceptionalism to be taught as standard in the nation’s schools.
On illegal immigration, a second Trump term would allow the Republican party to further tighten the screw, with new laws denying undocumented immigrants free access to food, shelter, medical aid and education sure to go before the courts.
On the pandemic, Trump has promised much, but is sketchy on the details, stating that the virus would be eradicated in the US via a vaccine, which he has claimed would be available before the end of this year.
Isolationism and disengagement
As regards foreign policy, four more years of a Trump administration would see little shift in the stance he has established since 2016. We could see a further loosening of trans-Atlantic alliances and the almost total withdrawal of US troops stationed in Europe and elsewhere, although it’s likely that a significant fighting force will remain at bases in the Asia Pacific region, to keep an increasingly powerful Chinese military in check.